Charts are automatically displayed as soon as the currency market opens for the day and the necessary data is obtained.
Please wait a moment for the display.
| Hours. | home (i.e. hometown, home country) | priority (e.g. traffic) | indicator | Previous Results | forecast | result | Difference between results and expectations | Rate fluctuation after announcement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇪🇺 Europe | ★★ | August Consumer Price Index (HICP, Preliminary) [y/y] |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
|
|||||
| 🇪🇺 Europe | ★★ | August Consumer Price Index (HICP Core Index, Preliminary) [y/y] |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
|
|||||
| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | August Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI, revised) |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
|
|||||
| 🇺🇸 America | ★★ | August ISM Manufacturing Index |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
|
This is a list of indicators of high importance. Not all indicators are listed.
News
Bank of Japan Deputy Governor HIMINO Remarks: Somewhat Cautious on Interest Rate Hike
After the entry of European players, the dollar was bought by the US dollar, taking cues from the rise in the US long-term interest rate.
Today's Outlook
In USDJPY today, the yen selling trend has strengthened slightly in response to comments made by Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Yoshihiko Himino, and the market is exploring the extent of the impact of the comments. The market is now exploring the impact of the comments. Short-term strategies such as push-buying and sell-back are likely to be the focus of attention as we wait to see if the momentum of yen selling due to the comments runs its course.
Today's EURUSD is continuing the trend of the previous day's test of the highs of the upward wave after Chairman Powell's remarks, but the momentum did not continue and stalled. Going forward, the focus will be on the results of U.S. economic indicators, and depending on their contents, there is a possibility that the price will once again move to higher highs. Overall, the market is likely to remain in a range, while preparing for both push-buying and sell-back.
Today's GBPUSD is following the trend of the previous day, when it tested the highs by continuing the upward wave after Chairman Powell's remarks, but stalled without breaking above. Market participants may take a wait-and-see attitude ahead of the release of U.S. economic indicators, and depending on their contents, there is a possibility of another test of higher prices. In the short term, the market is likely to be aware of the need to buy on the downside and sell on the upside, and to take a range-based approach to trading.
Although the steady buying trend is continuing, the possibility that the market may enter an adjustment phase is in view, as it is approaching the resistance level that is recognized on a daily basis. In the European market, while the market was seen to be firm, there were also some occasions when the market was aware of the heaviness of the upper price. In the short term, we need to be wary of moves to chase higher prices and basically prioritize a stance of aiming for a push.
Hints for Tomorrow Seen in Retrospect
Today's USDJPY was quickly bought by the yen selling off in the early going on the back of comments by Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Himino and the rise in long-term interest rates. However, there were some moments when the pair was pushed back by the upward pressure from the downward wave formed after Chairman Powell's comments. As a result, the price movement swung widely up and down, but ultimately remained within the range.
Today, EURUSD saw dollar buying prevail against the backdrop of rising US long-term interest rates, which temporarily increased downward pressure. However, the market did not gain enough momentum to break below key support and the downside was limited; a return test was seen in the New York market, but there was no momentum and time ran out.
Today's GBPUSD had a day of increasing downward pressure from the beginning of the day as the dollar was bought on the back of rising long-term U.S. interest rates. The market was aware of the weight of the market as it fell below the lower limit of the upward wave formed after Chairman Powell's remarks.
Today, the AUDUSD was dominated by dollar buying against the backdrop of rising long-term interest rates in the U.S., and downward pressure was intensified from the European market. Although the price did not clearly break below the important support, the overall market direction seems to have become somewhat unstable.
Market Information
| classification | Tokyo | London | New York |
|
session (Daylight Savings Time) |
～ | ～ | ～ |
| price fluctuations【 USDJPY 】 | |||
| price fluctuations【 EURUSD 】 | |||
| price fluctuations【 GBPUSD 】 | |||
| price fluctuations【 AUDUSD 】 |
PonTan chart paints the background according to the above market session
AI's move: How to attack today?
Market Summary
USDJPY continues to be dominated by buying as yen selling strengthens following comments by BOJ Deputy Governor Himino
The market is searching for a sense of direction while gauging the persistence of the effect of the statements.
Assumed range
Assuming a lower price around 147.80 and an upper price around 148.50.
Price movements will remain range-bound, but whether or not an upward breakout will be the focus of attention.
tactics
Basic tactic is to buy at the push point.
On the other hand, flexible response is necessary to sell back at higher prices and to use range rotation in combination.
trigger
Possible stronger buying on a break above 148.50
Conversely, a break below 147.80 would indicate a short-term adjustment
override condition
A break below 147.50 negates the push-back scenario.
Sudden rises and falls without volume are also factors that make us rethink our strategy.
risk event
U.S. economic indicators (ISM and employment-related data)
Changes in Interest Rate Outlook as a Result of Statements by Fed Officials
Changes in dollar demand due to geopolitical risks and stock market trends
Position Management
Lot size is kept lower than usual and diversified entries are used as a basic rule.
Profit target is set at 148.40-148.50 area and stop loss is set below 147.50
Maintain a stance of prioritizing short-term trading and refraining from long-term positions.
checklist
Can support around 147.80 hold?
Can the resistance around 148.50 be broken through?
Whether U.S. indicators and key figures' statements will increase volatility
Market Summary
EURUSD tested the rising wave after Chairman Powell's remarks the previous day, but the momentum did not continue and the trend stalled
Markets are awaiting the release of U.S. economic indicators to get a sense of direction
Assumed range
Lower price is expected around 1.0870 and higher price around 1.0930
With major events coming up, the phase to watch is based on staying within the range.
tactics
Basic tactic is to focus on range rotation while prioritizing push-buying
Be aware of selling on both sides of the equation.
trigger
A clear break above 1.0930 could lead to a buying trend
A break below 1.0870 would likely bring selling pressure to mind in the short term.
Key U.S. economic indicators trigger short-term volatility
override condition
A break below 1.0850 would negate the push-back scenario.
On the other hand, if it settles above 1.0950, the premise of the range tactic is broken.
risk event
U.S. economic indicators (ISM, employment-related data, etc.)
Changes in the Monetary Policy Outlook as a Result of Statements by Fed Officials
Results of inflation-related data and business confidence indices in the European region
Position Management
Lot size is adjusted at half the normal size and based on diversified entry.
The profit target is set at around 1.0920-1.0930 and the loss target is set at 1.0850 or below.
Focus on short-term trades and forgo long-term positions in favor of
checklist
Will support around 1.0870 hold?
Can the resistance around 1.0930 be broken through?
Whether volatility will increase after the release of U.S. indices
Market Summary
GBPUSD tested the highs after Chairman Powell's remarks the previous day but stalled after failing to break above, continuing the wait-and-see trend
Market participants appear to be refraining from aggressive trading ahead of the release of U.S. economic indicators
Assumed range
Lower price is expected around 1.2730 and higher price around 1.2790
Until the release of the U.S. index, it is likely to remain within this range
tactics
Basic tactic is to focus on range rotation and use both push-buy and return selling
A short-term price range approach is considered more effective than trend-following
trigger
A clear break above 1.2790 could lead to a buying trend
Selling pressure is likely to increase if the price falls below 1.2730
Results of U.S. economic indicators will be a factor influencing short-term direction
override condition
A break below 1.2700 would negate the push-back scenario.
Conversely, if the price settles above 1.2820, it will be difficult to establish a return tactic
risk event
Release of U.S. ISM index and employment-related data
Changes in Interest Rate Outlook as a Result of Statements by Fed Officials
Changes in pound supply and demand due to UK economic indicators (PMI, etc.)
Position Management
Keep lot size low and diversify entries.
The profit target is set at around 1.2780 and the loss target is set at below 1.2700.
Maintain a stance of prioritizing short-term turnover and refraining from long-term positions
checklist
Can support around 1.2730 be maintained?
Can the resistance around 1.2790 be broken through?
Whether U.S. economic indicators will increase market liquidity and direction
Market Summary
AUDUSD continues to be in a steady buying trend, but the possibility of entering an adjustment phase as it nears the daily resistance level is being considered.
European markets showed firmness, but were still conscious of the heaviness of the upside.
Assumed range
Assuming downside around 0.6670 and upside around 0.6720.
Focus is on whether or not there will be an upward breakout, while remaining within the range
tactics
Basic stance is to prioritize buying at the push point
Avoid chasing highs and consider entering in small increments after confirming support
trigger
A break above 0.6720 could increase buying pressure.
Conversely, a break below 0.6670 would be a deepening of the short-term adjustment.
override condition
A clear break below 0.6650 would destroy the assumption of a pushback.
Stagnation accompanied by a sharp decline in volume is also a factor invalidating the strategy.
risk event
Australian economic indicators (trade balance and housing-related data)
U.S. economic indicators and the U.S. dollar in general
Impact of China-related News on the Australian Dollar
Position Management
Lot size starts at half the normal size and is added after confirming a push
The profit target is around 0.6710-0.6720, and the loss target is below 0.6650.
Short-term trading is the basic policy, and long-term positions are foregone.
checklist
Will support around 0.6670 hold?
Can we break above around 0.6720?
Be aware of changes in liquidity before and after the release of Australian and U.S. indices?
AI's Afterword: Today's Market
looking back
Yen selling strengthened following BoJ Deputy Governor Himino's comments and rising long-term interest rates, but was pulled back by the downside upside after Chairman Powell's comments and remained within the range
summary
Early in the day, the yen sell-off led to a quick dollar buy-off.
However, it was pushed back to the highs and landed in a range after ups and downs.
Today's Price Movement
Tokyo session saw the yen sell off on the comments, rising to around 148.20.
The pair was pushed back to around 147.80 after the European session.
The NY session swung up and down, but eventually settled slightly around 148.00.
Background & Materials
Comments by BOJ deputy governor sparked speculation about monetary policy and accelerated yen selling
U.S. long-term interest rates picked up, providing support for the dollar.
On the other hand, the downward wave of resistance that has become conscious after Chairman Powell's comments restrained the upside.
Technical Memo (Short-term)
On the 4-hour time frame, the 148.20 area is considered as resistance
The lower price is acting as support around 147.80, which clarifies the upper and lower bounds of the short-term range
Technical Memo (mid-term)
On a daily basis, a range continues to form around 148.00, making it difficult to establish a sense of direction.
Moving averages are trending sideways, and the trend remains holding in the medium term
impression
Although there was a one-way movement in response to the material, it eventually converged in a range.
The market still seems to be lacking a sense of direction as the ups and downs continue
trade observations
The market was suitable for short-term trading in an environment where both buying at the pushpoint and selling on the return were easy to function.
On the other hand, there were many instances where it was easy to be swept away if the highs were chased or the lows were sold without being aware of the range.
checklist
Can support around 147.80 hold?
Can the resistance around 148.20 be broken through?
To what extent do US interest rate trends affect the flow of the dollar/yen?
looking back
Dollar buying prevailed against the backdrop of rising U.S. long-term interest rates, but important support remained in place and the downside was limited
summary
Dollar buying in the early stages of the event temporarily increased downward pressure
However, it did not lead to a clear break below and lacked momentum while testing the return in the New York market
Today's Price Movement
In the European market, the price fell to around 1.0880 and then bounced back down.
In the New York market, a test of around 1.0900 was seen, but it was sluggish and remained in a range.
Background & Materials
Rising U.S. long-term interest rates supported dollar buying.
However, economic indicators on the European side were limited, and there were few factors to accelerate euro selling.
The market as a whole took a wait-and-see attitude as it awaited U.S. economic indicators.
Technical Memo (Short-term)
On the 4-hour time frame, the 1.0880 area acted as support.
The upside is heavy around 1.0920-1.0930 and a short-term range is forming
Technical Memo (mid-term)
The daily range of 1.0850-1.0950 is continuing, and the direction is not clear even in the medium term
Moving averages have remained flat and are holding
impression
There were some temporary movements in response to the materials, but in the end, the market remained within a range.
The market is looking for the next clue while confirming that support will be maintained.
trade observations
It was a market where both push-buying and return selling were likely to work effectively.
Participants who were more interested in short-term price gains than following one direction were conspicuous.
checklist
Can support around 1.0880 be maintained?
Can the resistance around 1.0930 be broken through?
Whether U.S. economic indicators will strengthen the sense of direction
looking back
The dollar was bought against the backdrop of rising U.S. long-term interest rates, and GBPUSD was weighed down below the lower limit of the rising wave
summary
Dollar buyers led the way in the early stages of the session, increasing downward pressure.
Buying interest receded as the market fell below the lower limit of the rising wave after Chairman Powell's remarks.
Today's Price Movement
In the European market, the price fell to around 1.2730 and then returned only slightly
In the New York market, the price continued to hover around 1.2740-1.2760, failing to rebound significantly
Background & Materials
U.S. long-term interest rates rose, supporting dollar demand.
New material on the UK side was scarce, and the relative strength of the dollar was noted
Markets refrained from aggressive trading ahead of the release of U.S. economic indicators
Technical Memo (Short-term)
On the 4-hour time frame, 1.2730 is considered short-term support
The upside resistance was around 1.2770, indicating a short-term range formation.
Technical Memo (mid-term)
The daily price continues to hold around the 1.2700 level
Moving averages remain flat and medium-term direction is difficult to determine
impression
The market's weight was clear, mainly due to dollar buying due to rising interest rates.
On the other hand, there is no clear trend, and the market continues to wait for more material.
trade observations
While the return selling was likely to prevail, short-term pushback was also locally functional.
Large position building was avoided, and short-term price action was the main focus.
checklist
Will support around 1.2730 hold?
Can the resistance around 1.2770 be broken through?
Whether U.S. economic indicators will change market trends
looking back
AUDUSD came under downward pressure but failed to break support as dollar buying prevailed against the backdrop of rising long-term U.S. interest rates
summary
The Australian dollar weakened as the dollar was bought from European markets
Important support was maintained, but there was a sense of directional instability
Today's Price Movement
The price fell to around 0.6680 during European hours, increasing downward pressure.
A small return to test the 0.6700 area was seen in the New York market, but momentum was limited.
Background & Materials
Rising U.S. long-term interest rates boosted demand for the dollar and restrained the Australian dollar's upward movement.
New materials on the Australian side were scarce, and the market remained relatively dollar-driven.
The overall market was in a mood to refrain from aggressive trading ahead of the U.S. economic indicators
Technical Memo (Short-term)
The 0.6680 area was recognized as support and a short-term downside guide.
The upside resistance was around 0.6720 and the range forming trend continued
Technical Memo (mid-term)
The daily trend continues to hold between 0.6650 and 0.6750, and medium-term direction is difficult to determine.
Moving averages show a sideways trend, supporting the continuation of the holding
impression
Downward pressure strengthened at times, but failed to break below decisive support.
Buying and selling were mixed, and the overall market lacked material for clues, leaving an unstable impression.
trade observations
It was a good day for short-term trading, as both push-backs and sell-backs were easily tested
With no major direction in sight, the focus was on rotational trading with an awareness of the range
checklist
Will support around 0.6680 hold?
Can the resistance around 0.6720 be broken through?
Whether the results of U.S. economic indicators will strengthen the direction
FX Diary