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| Hours. | home (i.e. hometown, home country) | priority (e.g. traffic) | indicator | Previous Results | forecast | result | Difference between results and expectations | Rate fluctuation after announcement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | ★ | August Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
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| 🇪🇺 Europe | ★ | July Retail Sales [MoM] |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
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| 🇪🇺 Europe | ★ | July Retail Sales [yoy] |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
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| 🇺🇸 America | ★★ | August ADP Employment [month-over-month] |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
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| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | July Trade Balance |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
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| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | New Unemployment Insurance Applications for the previous week |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
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| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | Number of continuous unemployment insurance recipients for the previous week |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
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| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | August Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI, revised) |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
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| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | August Purchasing Managers' Index for Services (PMI, revised) |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
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| 🇺🇸 America | ★★ | August ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Conditions Index (Composite) |
Graph Display
Could not retrieve graph data.
Displays a graph of rate fluctuation after an index announcement
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This is a list of indicators of high importance. Not all indicators are listed.
Today's Outlook
Today, USDJPY continues to lack a clear sense of direction, and the market as a whole is adopting a wait-and-see attitude. In particular, with a series of important economic indicators due to be released from today through tomorrow, investors are likely to be cautious about building new positions. In Europe, the market may move only slightly higher or lower, and in New York, liquidity is expected to be limited as the market awaits the release of economic indicators. In such a situation, it will be an effective day to flexibly use both push-buying and sell-back strategies based on a risk-limited range strategy.
Today, EURUSD remains directionless and lacks a clear flow amid a mixture of buying and selling pressure. Especially with a series of important economic indicators scheduled for today and tomorrow, market participants are likely to be more reluctant to take new positions. In the European markets, major movements are likely to be limited, and in the New York market, liquidity may be reduced as we await the release of indicators. Overall, a combination of push-buy and sell-back strategies based on a risk-limited range strategy will be the preferred response.
Today's GBPUSD is in a wait-and-see phase as the market as a whole is likely to take a wait-and-see attitude due to a series of important economic indicators from today to tomorrow. While the market is aware of the downside direction, no major moves were seen on the previous day, as the market was mainly adjusting. In the event of a test to the downside in the European session or later, a strategy to aim for a return to the upside will be the focus of attention. However, since the market is still waiting for materials, a limited risk response is required.
Today's AUDUSD is in an environment where the market is likely to take a wait-and-see attitude overall, as important economic indicators are scheduled for today and tomorrow. Although the market is aware of the upside in terms of direction, the focus will be on whether or not there will be an aggressive move to the upside. In the European market, there is a possibility of a buy-back, but the formation of a major trend will depend on the results of the indices. While the overall tone is to buy on the strength of the push-back, it is important to carefully assess the strength of the move to test the highs.
Hints for Tomorrow Seen in Retrospect
In today's USDJPY, the market as a whole took a wait-and-see attitude in anticipation of important indicators, and no major price movements were seen until the New York time. Although there was temporary buying following the release of the index, the market subsequently showed caution in pursuit of higher prices and remained within a small range. The European session was similarly limited, and overall the day lacked a sense of direction. As a result, the trading was mainly focused on capturing small movements within the range rather than on buying at the push point or selling on the return.
Today, the EURUSD was in a wait-and-see attitude in the market as a whole, with little movement until the New York time, due to the fact that an important indicator was about to be released. Even after the release of the indicator, there was little sense of surprise, and the market continued to lack a sense of direction, with no bias in trading. In the European market, price fluctuations remained small, and the overall market remained within a range. As a result, the day was quiet with limited opportunities to launch push-buying and sell-back strategies.
Today's GBPUSD was mostly inactive until the New York time, as the market as a whole took a wait-and-see attitude in anticipation of an important indicator release. Even after the release of the index, there was no sense of surprise, and the market did not trade with a sense of direction, resulting in only small price movements. In the European market, buy-backs and sell-offs were limited, and the day lacked a clear trend. As a whole, there were few opportunities to actively buy on the upside or sell on the downside, and the market remained quiet in a range.
The AUDUSD was temporarily in a push-back mode as the selling was dominated in the Tokyo market, but the European market lacked a sense of direction with little movement. As a result, there were no opportunities to buy on the upside throughout the day. Overall, it was a day in which the market's focus on selling on the upside was more effective.
Market Information
| classification | Tokyo | London | New York |
|
session (Daylight Savings Time) |
～ | ～ | ～ |
| price fluctuations【 USDJPY 】 | |||
| price fluctuations【 EURUSD 】 | |||
| price fluctuations【 GBPUSD 】 | |||
| price fluctuations【 AUDUSD 】 |
PonTan chart paints the background according to the above market session
AI's move: How to attack today?
Market Summary
USDJPY lacks a clear sense of direction, and the wait-and-see attitude is strengthening.
New positions are likely to be held back ahead of key indicators, limiting price movements.
Assumed range
Assuming a lower price around 147.80 and an upper price around 148.50.
Conscious of coming and going within a range rather than forming a major trend
tactics
Mainly range rotation, with flexible combination of push-buying and return selling
Avoid chasing highs and selling lows, and aim for small prices by identifying reversal points.
trigger
A break above 148.50 would likely strengthen the buy-dominant trend.
Selling pressure is likely to be conscious if the price falls below 147.80
U.S. economic indicators may provide short-term direction
override condition
A break below 147.50 would negate the push-back strategy.
If it settles above 148.70, the premise of the return strategy will be broken.
It is necessary to assume range denial due to sudden changes after the release of the index
risk event
U.S. economic indicators (employment-related, ISM, etc.)
Changes in Interest Rate Outlook as a Result of Statements by Fed Officials
Risk aversion in the stock market and geopolitical risks
Position Management
Lot size is kept lower than usual and diversified entries are used as a basic rule.
Profit is set at around 148.40-148.50 and loss is set at 147.50 or below.
Focus on short-term transactions and maintain long-term positions sparingly
checklist
Can support around 147.80 hold?
Can the resistance around 148.50 be broken through?
Whether the U.S. economic indicators will lead to a move out of the range
ChatGPT:.
Market Summary
EURUSD continues to lack direction, with a mix of buying and selling pressure
Market participants are increasingly holding back on new positions ahead of key indicators
Assumed range
Lower price is expected around 1.0870 and higher price around 1.0930
Conscious of coming and going within this range until major material
tactics
Basis is to prioritize range rotation and be flexible to buy on the push side and sell on the return side
Short-term contrarian stance mainly, refraining from aiming for a break is effective.
trigger
A clear break above 1.0930 could accelerate buybacks
Selling pressure is likely to increase if the price falls below 1.0870
Release of U.S. economic indicators will be a factor in providing short-term direction
override condition
A break below 1.0850 would negate the push-back strategy.
Conversely, if it settles above 1.0950, the premise of the return strategy is broken.
Sudden changes due to index releases could make range strategies unworkable.
risk event
Major U.S. economic indicators (employment-related, ISM, etc.)
Changes in Interest Rate Outlook as a Result of Statements by Fed Officials
Inflation-related data and business confidence indices for the European region
Position Management
Keep lot size to about half the normal size and use diversified entry as the basis for entry.
The profit target is set at 1.0920-1.0930 and the loss target is set at 1.0850.
Focus on short-term trading and avoid building large positions
checklist
Can support around 1.0870 be maintained?
Can the resistance around 1.0930 be broken through?
Whether there will be a move out of the range following the U.S. economic indicators
Market Summary
GBPUSD is taking a wait-and-see attitude in the overall market ahead of important economic indicators
While the direction of the market was downward, there was no major movement on the previous day, mainly due to adjustments.
Assumed range
Lower price is expected around 1.2680 and higher price around 1.2760
The wait for indicators is likely to be centered within this range.
tactics
Basically, return sales will be prioritized and prepare for a downward test.
Flexible stance to use push-buy and return-sell within the range is also effective
trigger
Selling pressure is likely to be conscious if the price falls below 1.2680.
A break above 1.2760 could strengthen the buyback in the short term
Economic indicators in the U.S. and U.K. will be a factor in providing direction
override condition
A clear break above 1.2800 and consolidation would negate the return strategy.
Conversely, a break below 1.2650 would make it harder for a push-buy strategy to work.
Range strategy is also invalidated in the case of large ups and downs due to unexpected materials
risk event
U.S. economic indicators (ISM, employment-related data, etc.)
Changes in pound supply and demand due to UK economic indicators and key figures' statements
Risk aversion due to geopolitical risks and stock market volatility
Position Management
Keep lot sizes low and diversify entries.
The profit margin is set around 1.2690 to 1.2700 and the stop loss is set above 1.2800.
Maintain a modest long-term position, with a focus on short-term rotation
checklist
Whether or not the support around 1.2680 will be broken below
Can the resistance around 1.2760 be broken through?
Whether economic indicators in the U.S. and U.K. will affect the market
Market Summary
AUDUSD Ahead of Key Indicators, Overall Market Takes Wait-and-see Stance
Directional focus is on whether there will be an aggressive move to the upside, although the upward trend is still in mind.
Assumed range
Assuming downside around 0.6670 and upside around 0.6730.
A range transition around this range is easily expected as we await indicators
tactics
While keeping an eye on buying at the pushpoint, be flexible to sell on the return.
Effective response is to focus on short-term rotation without assuming the occurrence of a trend.
trigger
A clear break above 0.6730 would likely strengthen buying momentum.
A break below 0.6670 would likely bring selling pressure to mind in the short term.
Price movements in European hours and U.S. economic indicators may trigger short-term
override condition
A break below 0.6650 would negate the push-back strategy.
Conversely, if it settles above 0.6750, the return strategy will no longer work.
The range strategy itself could be invalidated by sudden changes after the release of an index.
risk event
Major U.S. economic indicators (employment-related, ISM, etc.)
Impact on the Australian dollar of changes in Chinese economic indicators and commodity prices
Australian domestic inflation indicators and statements from RBA officials
Position Management
Lot size is kept lower than usual and diversified entries are used as the basis of entry.
The profit target is set at around 0.6720-0.6730 and the stop loss at 0.6650.
Avoid chasing high prices and prioritize trading with a focus on short-term rotation.
checklist
Can support around 0.6670 hold?
Can the resistance around 0.6730 be broken through?
Whether volatility will increase following the release of U.S. and Chinese indicators
AI's Afterword: Today's Market
looking back
USDJPY lacked a sense of direction throughout the day as the market took a wait-and-see attitude ahead of key indicators.
summary
No major price movements until NY time, with temporary buying after the index release.
However, upward movement was limited, and the market ended up moving in a small range.
Today's Price Movement
Tokyo time repeated small ups and downs around 148.00
European markets also lacked a sense of direction, with the pair hovering in a narrow range between 148.10 and 147.90.
The pair was bid up to around 148.30 in response to the indicator during the New York session, but then stalled and returned to the range.
Background & Materials
Aggressive trading was restrained as the market was aware of the important indicators coming up in the second half of the week
U.S. long-term interest rates remained firm, but had limited impact on the currency markets
New material was scarce from Europe as well, and a wait-and-see trend prevailed.
Technical Memo (Short-term)
The area around 147.90 was recognized as support and a factor supporting lower prices.
The area around 148.30 was considered as resistance and did not break above
Technical Memo (mid-term)
The daily trend shows a continuation of the range, with limited direction unless the price exceeds 148.50
Moving averages are also flat, indicating a medium-term holding trend
impression
No clear trend was seen even after passing the indicator release, giving the strong impression that the market remained within a range.
The day was marked by market participants' cautiousness and a mood of waiting for materials.
trade observations
The environment was conducive to both push-buying and return selling, but margins were limited.
High price chasing and low price selling were risky, and short-term rotation was the main focus.
checklist
Can support around 147.90 hold?
Can the resistance around 148.30 be broken through?
Whether important indicators in the second half of the week will lead to a move out of the range
looking back
EURUSD lacked direction throughout the day with a wait-and-see attitude ahead of key indicators
summary
There was little movement until the New York time, and even after the index, there were few surprises.
Prices remained in a range in the European market as well, with only small price movements.
Today's Price Movement
Tokyo time continued to move slightly around 1.0900
The European market also remained in a narrow range of 1.0910-1.0890
Even after the release of the indicator in New York, only temporary buying was limited to the 1.0920 area, after which the pair stalled again.
Background & Materials
Lack of major material in both the U.S. and Europe has led to a wait-and-see attitude among investors
U.S. indicators were in line with expectations and had limited impact on the currency markets
Lack of new support and factors from the European region also contributed to the lack of direction.
Technical Memo (Short-term)
1.0890 was recognized as a lower support.
Short-term upside resistance was around 1.0920, and no breakthrough was seen
Technical Memo (mid-term)
The 1.0850-1.0950 range remains in consciousness
Moving averages show a sideways trend, supporting a medium-term holding tone
impression
The market was quiet with no sense of direction throughout.
Strong impression that most participants took a wait-and-see attitude for key indicators, restraining aggressive trading
trade observations
Push-buying and return selling were less likely to work and trading opportunities were limited.
The focus was on short-term turnover and small profit strategies, and there were few opportunities for large profits.
checklist
Can support around 1.0890 be maintained?
Can the resistance around 1.0920 be broken through?
Whether new indicators in the U.S. and Europe will give market direction
looking back
GBPUSD remained in a small range throughout the day as the market remained wait-and-see ahead of key indicators
summary
There were no major changes until the New York time, and surprises were limited even after the index.
The European market also lacked a sense of direction, with little buying and selling activity.
Today's Price Movement
Tokyo time repeated small ups and downs around 1.2760
European markets were in a range of 1.2770-1.2740 with no clear direction.
The pair moved briefly in the NY hour following the release of the index, but eventually returned to the 1.2760 area
Background & Materials
Markets were increasingly shying away from aggressive trading ahead of key indicators in the U.S. and the U.K.
U.S. indicators released were in line with expectations and had limited impact on the currency markets
The lack of new material from the European side was also a factor in the continued range trading.
Technical Memo (Short-term)
Around 1.2740 was considered as support.
The 1.2770 area was the upper resistance and no short-term break was seen
Technical Memo (mid-term)
The range between 1.2700 and 1.2800 continues to hold in the medium term
Moving averages show a sideways trend, supporting a trendless situation
impression
Lacking a sense of direction throughout, the market remained quiet within the range.
The impression remains that aggressive trading was restrained due to a strong environment of waiting for materials.
trade observations
The timing for buying at the push point and selling on the return was limited, and it was difficult to take profit margins.
The main focus was on short-term reverse investment, and opportunities for large profits were scarce.
checklist
Can support around 1.2740 be maintained?
Can the resistance around 1.2770 be broken through?
Whether new indicators in the U.S. and U.K. will give a sense of direction
looking back
AUDUSD fell after heavy selling in Tokyo, as dollar buying strengthened in New York on the back of the index
summary
European markets lacked movement and were generally lacking a sense of direction
The Australian dollar tested further lower as dollar buying strengthened in the New York market
Today's Price Movement
Selling was dominated from around 0.6700 in the Tokyo market, and the downward push was noticeable.
European markets were in a narrow range of 0.6680-0.6700 with limited directional movement.
The dollar was bought by the New York market following the release of the index and fell to around 0.6660
Background & Materials
U.S. economic indicators were in line with market expectations, triggering dollar buying
There were no notable changes in China-related news or commodity market conditions, providing little support for the Australian dollar.
There was no new material in Australia, and the environment was easily swayed by external factors.
Technical Memo (Short-term)
Around 0.6660 was considered as support, but no strong rebound was seen
The 0.6700 area acted as upside resistance and was a guide for a return to the market
Technical Memo (mid-term)
Downward pressure is being recognized on a daily basis, and the upward trend continues to be heavy even in the return phase
Medium-term holding continues unless the 0.6650-0.6750 range is broken
impression
Although there was a temporary push-back phase, the result was a day of predominant selling on the return.
The situation appeared to be emphasizing the upside potential for the Australian dollar, and a cautious stance was called for.
trade observations
The strategy of aiming to buy at the pushpoint did not work, and the priority was to sell on the return.
In the short term, a move to take small gains with support in mind was effective.
Short-term rotation was the main focus, rather than expecting a large trend formation.
checklist
Will support around 0.6660 hold?
Can the resistance around 0.6700 be broken through?
Whether U.S. economic indicators and commodity market conditions will affect the Australian dollar
FX Diary